SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
72.91% ( -0.19) | 15.85% ( 0.11) | 11.23% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.32) | 32.46% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.9% ( -0.37) | 54.1% ( 0.37) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.29% ( -0.11) | 7.7% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.55% ( -0.29) | 27.44% ( 0.29) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.99% ( -0.08) | 40% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.34% ( -0.07) | 76.66% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.47% Total : 72.9% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.85% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.23% |
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