SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
40.08% ( 0.15) | 23.78% ( -0.04) | 36.13% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.15% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.19) | 39.92% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.71% ( 0.19) | 62.28% ( -0.2) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( 0.14) | 20.19% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( 0.23) | 52.49% ( -0.24) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.03) | 22.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( 0.04) | 55.49% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
