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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
45.87% ( 13.47) | 22.86% ( 0.91) | 31.27% ( -14.38) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( -4.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( -5.09) | 36.88% ( 5.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.94% ( -5.73) | 59.06% ( 5.73) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( 3.75) | 16.53% ( -3.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.71% ( 6.36) | 46.29% ( -6.36) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -8.71) | 23.37% ( 8.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -14.54) | 57.34% ( 14.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 1.83) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 2.21)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 2.47)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 1.59)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 1.74)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.91)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.31)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.89)Other @ 4.46% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.99) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.36)0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.89)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.45)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -1.4) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -1.4)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -2.04)2-3 @ 3.21% ( -1.26)0-3 @ 1.98% ( -1.53)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -1.39)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.98)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.27% |
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