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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
53.08% ( -1.48) | 21.44% ( 0.25) | 25.48% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 64.52% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.8% ( 0.03) | 34.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.91% ( 0.03) | 56.08% ( -0.04) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( -0.43) | 13.12% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.24% ( -0.88) | 39.76% ( 0.88) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.91) | 25.73% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( 1.23) | 60.66% ( -1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.08% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.48% |
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