Given their respective form and looking at the stakes of the game, we expect a cagey and low-scoring affair on Sunday. With that said, we predict they will both take a cautious approach to the game and hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Willem II
49.29%	25.94%	24.77%

Both teams to score 48.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.47%

54.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.12%

75.88%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84%

22.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46%

55.54%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.73%

37.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.95%

74.05%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 49.29%

Willem II 24.77%

Draw 25.93%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.29%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.77%