Buoyed by their huge victory last time out, PSV will head into this one full of confidence, and we are backing them to come away with all three points in emphatic fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.06%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 3.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 4-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.33%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
87.06%	9.12%	3.82%

Both teams to score 41.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.7%

28.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.86%

49.14%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.72%

4.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.22%

17.78%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.13%

56.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.03%

88.97%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 87.05%

Fortuna Sittard 3.82%

Draw 9.12%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
3-0 @ 12.71% 2-0 @ 12.09% 4-0 @ 10.02% 1-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 7.18% 2-1 @ 6.83% 5-0 @ 6.32% 4-1 @ 5.66% 5-1 @ 3.57% 6-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.03% 6-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.6% 7-0 @ 1.5% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.69% Total : 87.05%	1-1 @ 4.33% 0-0 @ 2.44% 2-2 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.43% Total : 9.12%	0-1 @ 1.37% 1-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.82%