Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.06%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 3.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 4-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.33%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
87.06% | 9.12% | 3.82% |
Both teams to score 41.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.7% | 28.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.86% | 49.14% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.72% | 4.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.22% | 17.78% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.13% | 56.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.03% | 88.97% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
3-0 @ 12.71% 2-0 @ 12.09% 4-0 @ 10.02% 1-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 7.18% 2-1 @ 6.83% 5-0 @ 6.32% 4-1 @ 5.66% 5-1 @ 3.57% 6-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.03% 6-1 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.6% 7-0 @ 1.5% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.69% Total : 87.05% | 1-1 @ 4.33% 0-0 @ 2.44% 2-2 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.43% Total : 9.12% | 0-1 @ 1.37% 1-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.82% |
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