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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
FS

Heerenveen
2 - 1
Sittard

van Hooijdonk (22'), van Ewijk (44')
van Aken (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yilmaz (84' pen.)
Yilmaz (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Heerenveen 1-1 Fortuna Sittard

There is very little to separate the sides, and this weekend's clash could easily swing either way. We are tipping the teams to nullify the threat of each other, resulting in a share of the spoils at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawFortuna Sittard
64.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 21.05% (-0.032 -0.03) 14.07% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.78% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (0.091999999999999 0.09)49.39% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)71.43% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (0.046000000000006 0.05)14.48% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)42.46% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03)46.46% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)82.08% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 64.87%
    Fortuna Sittard 14.07%
    Draw 21.05%
HeerenveenDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 64.87%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.05%
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 14.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vitesse 0-4 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-0 Sparta
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 AZ
Thursday, May 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-4 Cambuur
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 Sittard
Sunday, August 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-3 Ajax
Saturday, August 6 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-2 Vitesse
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-2 Sittard
Saturday, May 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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