SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortuna Sittard.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NAC Breda |
56.97% ( 0.58) | 22.85% ( -0.18) | 20.18% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( 0.25) | 46.88% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( 0.23) | 69.13% ( -0.23) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( 0.29) | 16.22% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.28% ( 0.52) | 45.73% ( -0.52) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% ( -0.26) | 37.38% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% ( -0.26) | 74.16% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 56.95% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.18% |
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