SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | NAC Breda |
42.27% ( 0.27) | 25.39% ( 0.08) | 32.33% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( -0.44) | 48.25% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( -0.4) | 70.4% ( 0.41) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( -0.06) | 22.72% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( -0.09) | 56.4% ( 0.1) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( -0.43) | 28.25% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.04% ( -0.55) | 63.96% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.33% |
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