SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 2-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.31% ( -0.25) | 18.55% ( -0.15) | 65.14% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 60.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.23) | 33.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.84% ( 0.26) | 55.16% ( -0.26) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.14) | 33.54% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( -0.15) | 70.18% ( 0.16) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( 0.16) | 9.65% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.79% ( 0.37) | 32.21% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 16.31% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.55% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.53% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.4% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0)0-4 @ 4.03% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.61% Total : 65.14% |
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