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Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda
1 - 0
Almere City

Sauer (18')
Lucassen (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Almere City
Saturday, November 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NAC Breda 1-0 Almere City

Almere City could really do with a positive result at the moment as they look to snap a woeful run of form and kickstart their season.   We are anticipating a drab and nervy affair with the home side just about edging out their visitors in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Almere City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NAC Breda in this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawAlmere City
47.06% (0.439 0.44) 25.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.51% (-0.468 -0.47)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (-0.399 -0.4)50.62% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-0.353 -0.35)72.53% (0.35199999999999 0.35)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.51% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.044999999999995 0.04)54.57% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.56999999999999 -0.57)32.87% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.639 -0.64)69.44% (0.639 0.64)
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 47.06%
    Almere City 27.51%
    Draw 25.41%
NAC BredaDrawAlmere City
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 47.06%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.113 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Willem II 2-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, November 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 4-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 26 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 NAC Breda
Sunday, October 20 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Almere City
Saturday, November 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-4 Feyenoord
Sunday, November 10 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Almere City
Sunday, November 3 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 Nijmegen
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Almere City
Saturday, October 19 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-1 Willem II
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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