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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
27.36% ( 0.12) | 23.91% ( 0.07) | 48.73% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.23) | 44.21% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.22) | 66.59% ( 0.22) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.03) | 29.63% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.04) | 65.67% ( 0.04) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.16) | 18.26% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( -0.27) | 49.31% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.36% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 48.73% |
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