SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
50.67% ( -0.96) | 22.3% ( 0.16) | 27.02% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 62.89% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.01% ( -0.11) | 36.98% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( -0.12) | 59.17% ( 0.12) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( -0.36) | 14.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.8% ( -0.69) | 43.2% ( 0.69) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( 0.5) | 26.12% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( 0.66) | 61.19% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.19% Total : 50.67% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
