SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
23.48% ( 0.05) | 21.85% ( 0.03) | 54.68% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( -0.11) | 38.27% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( -0.12) | 60.55% ( 0.12) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.02) | 29.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -0.03) | 65.49% ( 0.03) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( -0.06) | 14.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.46% ( -0.13) | 41.54% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.68% |
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