SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
36.48% ( 0.07) | 25.56% ( 0.09) | 37.95% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( -0.4) | 48.24% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( -0.37) | 70.39% ( 0.37) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% ( -0.15) | 25.74% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( -0.2) | 60.67% ( 0.2) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.27) | 24.93% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% ( -0.37) | 59.56% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.95% |
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