SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
34.45% ( 0.33) | 24.37% ( 0.2) | 41.17% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( -0.87) | 43.04% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( -0.86) | 65.44% ( 0.86) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( -0.22) | 24.47% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( -0.31) | 58.91% ( 0.31) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.61) | 21.01% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -0.96) | 53.79% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.45% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.17% |
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