SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
35.76% ( -0.66) | 24.18% ( 0.15) | 40.06% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% ( -0.78) | 41.88% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.71% ( -0.79) | 64.29% ( 0.79) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.71) | 23.21% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -1.05) | 57.11% ( 1.05) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( -0.09) | 21.04% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.17% ( -0.15) | 53.83% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.06% |
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