SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
49.09% ( 0.05) | 24.44% ( -0.06) | 26.47% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.97% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.78% ( 0.24) | 47.22% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.55% ( 0.22) | 69.45% ( -0.23) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.11) | 19.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.97% ( 0.19) | 51.03% ( -0.19) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( 0.13) | 31.89% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( 0.15) | 68.34% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.47% |
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