Both teams are closely matched in the league table, and we expect a tight affair in this one with neither team giving too much away. We are also backing a share of the spoils with the sides settling for a point apiece come the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for NEC had a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
