SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
46.93% ( 0.68) | 23.6% ( 0.34) | 29.47% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( -1.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.59% ( -2.18) | 41.41% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.19% ( -2.25) | 63.81% ( 2.25) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.58) | 17.88% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( -1.01) | 48.66% ( 1.01) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -1.74) | 26.73% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38% ( -2.35) | 61.99% ( 2.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.47% |
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