Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
62.76% ( 2.17)	20.92% ( -0.56)	16.32% ( -1.61)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

-1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46% (

-0.34)

44.53% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.1% (

-0.33)

66.9% (

0.33)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.42% (

0.55)

13.58% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.31% (

1.09)

40.69% (

-1.09)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.59% (

-2.14)

40.41% (

2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.98% (

-2)

77.02% (

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.75%

Heerenveen 16.32%

Draw 20.92%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.75%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.92%	0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.32%