Both teams have struggled in attack all-season long, so we expect a low-scoring affair in this one. That said, we fancy the home side to narrowly edge their visitors and come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
