Both teams have struggled in attack all-season long, so we expect a low-scoring affair in this one. That said, we fancy the home side to narrowly edge their visitors and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heerenveen
34.21%	26.86%	38.93%

Both teams to score 51.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.04%

53.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6%

75.4%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14%

29.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.05%

65.95%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96%

27.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6%

62.4%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 34.21%

Heerenveen 38.93%

Draw 26.86%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.21%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.93%