SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
39.31% ( -0.18) | 24.73% ( 0.13) | 35.96% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -0.62) | 44.49% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -0.6) | 66.86% ( 0.61) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0.36) | 22.54% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.88% ( -0.53) | 56.12% ( 0.54) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( -0.26) | 24.3% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( -0.37) | 58.68% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.96% |
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