SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
36.86% ( -0.89) | 24.23% ( 0.3) | 38.91% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 60.59% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( -1.51) | 41.99% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% ( -1.54) | 64.4% ( 1.54) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( -1.13) | 22.68% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -1.71) | 56.32% ( 1.71) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -0.37) | 21.64% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( -0.57) | 54.76% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.42)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
