Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
24.6% (![]() | 22.14% (![]() | 53.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% (![]() | 38.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.25% (![]() | 60.75% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% (![]() | 28.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.49% (![]() | 64.51% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.47% (![]() | 14.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.44% (![]() | 42.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.27% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 3.4% Total : 24.6% | 1-1 @ 10.04% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.68% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.25% |
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