SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
33.81% ( 0.34) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 41.21% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.18) | 45.96% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( 0.17) | 68.27% ( -0.18) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( 0.29) | 26.22% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( 0.39) | 61.32% ( -0.4) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.07) | 22.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( -0.11) | 55.69% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.21% |
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