While Utrecht have struggled for form recently, their quality could show in a clash between two sides knocked from recent defeats. Friday's meeting should be tight with little to split the teams, but we lean towards a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
57.7%	21.49%	20.82%

Both teams to score 58.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.09%

39.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.72%

62.28%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.38%

13.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.22%

40.78%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24%

32.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68%

69.32%

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 57.7%

NEC 20.82%

Draw 21.49%

FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 6.58% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 3.28% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.38% Total : 57.7%	1-1 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 5.54% 0-1 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.82%