SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
74.8% ( -0.39) | 15.4% ( 0.21) | 9.8% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.25% ( -0.5) | 34.75% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.29% ( -0.57) | 56.71% ( 0.57) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.15% ( -0.2) | 7.85% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.18% ( -0.51) | 27.82% ( 0.51) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.67% ( -0.01) | 80.33% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 74.79% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.98% Total : 15.4% | 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.8% |
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