SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
50.26% ( -0.41) | 24.23% ( 0.16) | 25.51% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.46) | 47.1% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0.43) | 69.34% ( 0.43) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.34) | 18.77% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( -0.57) | 50.17% ( 0.57) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.03) | 32.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% ( -0.04) | 69.14% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.51% |
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