SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
40.59% ( 0.43) | 25.31% ( 0.29) | 34.1% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -1.44) | 47.41% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( -1.35) | 69.62% ( 1.35) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( -0.42) | 23.19% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( -0.61) | 57.07% ( 0.61) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -1.11) | 26.74% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( -1.49) | 62.01% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.1% |
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