Vitesse turned up their performance levels significantly in the second half to earn a win over local rivals NEC in the Gelderland Derby, but Cocu's side still have plenty of questions marks surrounding them ahead of Saturday's match.
Excelsior have started the campaign magnificently and should be confident of climbing further towards the summit of the Eredivisie with maximum points at GelreDome in this clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
