Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
47.75% (![]() | 22.66% (![]() | 29.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.16% (![]() | 36.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.99% (![]() | 59.02% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% (![]() | 15.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.99% (![]() | 45.01% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.64% (![]() | 24.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.24% (![]() | 58.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.25% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 10.03% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 7.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.6% |
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