SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
42.93% ( 0.09) | 25.36% ( 0.03) | 31.71% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.18) | 48.33% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.16) | 70.47% ( 0.17) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.03) | 22.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( -0.05) | 55.98% ( 0.05) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.16) | 28.7% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( -0.21) | 64.52% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.71% |
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