AZ boast more quality players all over the pitch and will fancy themselves to get the job done. We fully expect the away side to cruise to a relatively routine win in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.6%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 6.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.67%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-0 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
6.41% ( 0.52)	12.99% ( 0.73)	80.6% ( -1.25)

Both teams to score 43.7% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.32% (

-1.43)

35.67% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.26% (

-1.59)

57.74% (

1.59)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.92% (

0.55)

53.08% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.3% (

0.34)

86.7% (

-0.34)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.14% (

-0.55)

6.86% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.77% (

-1.48)

25.23% (

1.48)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 6.41%

AZ Alkmaar 80.6%

Draw 12.99%

FC Volendam	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.15% Total : 6.41%	1-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.99%	0-2 @ 13.07% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 11.67% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 7.82% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 4.96% ( -0.17) 0-5 @ 4.19% ( -0.35) 1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.87% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 1-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.83% Total : 80.6%