SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
43.28% ( 0.04) | 24.59% ( -0) | 32.13% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0.02) | 44.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( 0.02) | 67.09% ( -0.02) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( 0.03) | 20.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( 0.04) | 53.39% ( -0.04) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( -0.02) | 26.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.1% ( -0.02) | 61.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.13% |
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