SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
61.28% ( 0.08) | 20.37% ( 0.04) | 18.34% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.38) | 38.47% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.41) | 60.76% ( 0.41) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( -0.09) | 12.12% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.3% ( -0.2) | 37.7% ( 0.2) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( -0.35) | 34.4% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.88% ( -0.38) | 71.11% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.34% |
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