SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
42.17% ( -0.16) | 24.62% ( 0.05) | 33.21% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.41% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -0.21) | 44.52% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.2) | 66.89% ( 0.2) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0.16) | 21.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( -0.25) | 54.05% ( 0.25) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0.04) | 25.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( -0.05) | 60.88% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.21% |
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