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Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
WI

AZ
1 - 2
Willem II

Meerdink (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vaesen (37'), Sandra (41')
Boris (19'), Didillon (59'), Behounek (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 3-1 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Willem II 0-1 FC Twente
Saturday, November 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Willem II

AZ Alkmaar turned in their most impressive performance for a long time to see off Fenerbahce on Thursday, and that should lift the spirits heading into this weekend's clash.   We are tipping the home side to get the job done and give their fans reason to cheer at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawWillem II
62.2% (1.078 1.08) 20.1% (-0.299 -0.3) 17.7% (-0.778 -0.78)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.493 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.7% (0.079000000000001 0.08)38.29% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.42% (0.084000000000003 0.08)60.57% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18% (0.322 0.32)11.81% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95% (0.682 0.68)37.05% (-0.681 -0.68)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-0.79600000000001 -0.8)35% (0.79799999999999 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (-0.846 -0.85)71.75% (0.84700000000001 0.85)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 62.2%
    Willem II 17.7%
    Draw 20.1%
AZ AlkmaarDrawWillem II
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.201 0.2)
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.72% (0.225 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.59% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.1%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 17.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 3-1 Fenerbahce
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-2 AZ
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, October 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 AZ
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AZ 1-2 PSV
Saturday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 AZ
Sunday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 0-1 FC Twente
Saturday, November 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Willem II
Sunday, October 27 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 0-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 0-1 Willem II
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 0-2 PSV
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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