SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
38.94% ( -0.37) | 25.51% ( 0.02) | 35.55% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.07) | 48.09% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -0.06) | 70.26% ( 0.06) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -0.22) | 24.34% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% ( -0.32) | 58.73% ( 0.31) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( 0.17) | 26.21% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( 0.22) | 61.31% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.55% |
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