SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | PAOK |
32.05% ( -0) | 27.54% ( -0) | 40.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% ( 0.02) | 56.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% ( 0.02) | 77.88% ( -0.02) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.01) | 32.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( 0.01) | 69.41% ( -0.01) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( 0.01) | 27.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( 0.02) | 63.18% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.04% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.41% |
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