SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
33.35% ( -0.88) | 26.97% ( 0.3) | 39.68% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( -1.34) | 54.55% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( -1.13) | 75.9% ( 1.13) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( -1.24) | 30.72% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% ( -1.49) | 66.97% ( 1.49) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( -0.3) | 26.9% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( -0.4) | 62.22% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.35% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.67% |
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