Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 35.73%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Olympiacos in this match.
