Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.
