Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.