Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon Town	Draw	Bala Town
19.87%	21.9%	58.23%

Both teams to score 55.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.87%

43.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.47%

65.52%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46%

35.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.7%

72.3%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.48%

14.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.46%

42.54%

Score Analysis

Caernarfon Town 19.87%

Bala Town 58.23%

Draw 21.9%

Caernarfon Town	Draw	Bala Town
1-0 @ 5.34% 2-1 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 2.76% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.87%	1-1 @ 10.3% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.9%	0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.61% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 6.18% 2-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 3.08% 0-4 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.6% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.85% Total : 58.23%