Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.
