Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
