Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Bala Town
41.35%	25.63%	33.02%

Both teams to score 54.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.93%

49.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85%

71.15%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46%

23.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41%

57.59%

Bala Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78%

28.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08%

63.92%

Score Analysis

Pen-y-Bont 41.35%

Bala Town 33.02%

Draw 25.62%

Pen-y-Bont	Draw	Bala Town
1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.35%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.02%