SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 8.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.94%) and 1-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
76.81% ( -0.23) | 15.16% ( 0.13) | 8.03% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.07% ( -0.27) | 39.92% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.28) | 62.28% ( 0.28) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.36% ( -0.12) | 8.63% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.22% ( -0.29) | 29.77% ( 0.29) |
| Neftchi Baku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.26% ( 0.05) | 51.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.17% ( 0.04) | 85.83% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
| 2-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.75% Total : 76.79% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.16% | 0-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 8.03% |
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