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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Turk Hava Yollari Futbol Markazi IV meydanca
B

Neftchi Baku
1 - 3
Besiktas

Lebon (79')
Jaber (56'), Saief (76'), Mahmudov (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aboubakar (14'), Muleka (23'), Ucan (62')
Rosier (87')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Besiktas.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Neftchi Baku 2-0 Zeljeznicar
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: KF Tirana 0-2 Besiktas
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawBesiktas
21.57%22.64%55.79%
Both teams to score 55.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84%44.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46%66.54%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54%34.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83%71.17%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33%15.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.28%44.72%
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 21.57%
    Besiktas 55.79%
    Draw 22.63%
Neftchi BakuDrawBesiktas
1-0 @ 5.75%
2-1 @ 5.68%
2-0 @ 3.07%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 21.57%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.4%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 10%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-2 @ 9.27%
1-3 @ 6.1%
0-3 @ 5.73%
2-3 @ 3.25%
1-4 @ 2.83%
0-4 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 1.51%
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 55.79%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 2-0 Zeljeznicar
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zeljeznicar 2-2 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, July 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 0-1 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 2-0 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 2-1 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 4 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 3-0 Aris
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Tirana 0-2 Besiktas
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, July 21 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Besiktas 4-0 Mezokovesdi
Tuesday, July 18 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Besiktas 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, July 15 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Besiktas 3-3 Konyaspor
Wednesday, June 7 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig


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