SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Haka had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
28.98% ( 0.03) | 26.41% ( 0.01) | 44.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( -0.03) | 53.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.03) | 75.26% ( 0.03) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0) | 33.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( 0) | 70.04% ( -0) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.03) | 24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( -0.05) | 58.26% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.98% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.6% |
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