Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Haka had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
