SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Cukaricki had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Cukaricki win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cukaricki | Draw | Genk |
30.2% ( 0.01) | 23.66% ( 0) | 46.13% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( -0.02) | 41.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% ( -0.02) | 63.68% ( 0.01) |
| Cukaricki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( -0) | 26.19% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( -0) | 61.28% ( 0) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( -0.01) | 18.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( -0.02) | 49.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cukaricki | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.2% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 46.13% |
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